Analytics, Аrticles, Interviews

Wheat

Russia’s wheat harvest could fall to 77.5 million tons

The Rusagrotrans analysis center has lowered its forecast for the grain harvest from 140.1 million tons to 130.9 million tons in the optimistic scenario. The wheat harvest potential was lowered from 89.9 million tons to 84.2 million tons, compared to 92.8 million tons last year. At the same time, the lower limit of the wheat forecast takes into account the…
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Figures

Questionable tariffs. What possible restrictions could there be on imports of Russian agricultural products into the EU?

The European Commission had already considered raising import duties on deliveries of grains, oilseeds and their processing from Russia. The main goal of Western officials is to protect farmers in the EU and prevent them from receiving income for special promotions. However, the EU market itself has not asked to protect it from Russian agro-industrial products. And for some segments of…
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Cold

Even with reseeding, crop losses in Russia could amount to 12-13 percent of the previous year’s figure

This spring brought an unexpected and very unpleasant surprise for farmers. After a warm, summery April, winter has essentially returned in a number of regions. According to experts, the May frosts will seriously affect the future harvest, and analysts are actively reducing their forecasts. A state of emergency was declared in ten regions due to the frost. The full extent…
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Chinese flag

China’s grain imports will rise in 2023 and the price will fall

Last Thursday, the General Administration of Customs of China (GACC) released import statistics for December, completing data collection for 2023. The total imports of grains for the year rose to 162 million tons, a 12% increase over 2022 and the second after the record 164,5 million tons in 2021. The value of grain imports for 2023 was $82,3 billion, down slightly below…
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Olive oil

European olive oil stocks are running out

Local olive oil stocks in Europe are almost depleted and further shortages are expected after extreme weather damaged the second year’s crop. Heat waves around the Mediterranean have damaged crops and forced growers to import from South America. The world’s largest producer said it had to import supplies from South America to meet demand. “It is almost impossible to buy…
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Corn

USA lose world market leadership in corn exports

For more than 50 years, US farmers have dominated the international corn market, exporting more corn than any other country, reports UkrAgroConsult, citing Bloomberg. In the 2022/23 agricultural year, which ended on August 31, the US ceded the lead in corn exports to Brazil and will probably never regain it. According to the USDA, the USA will account for around…
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Heat

Hot weather worldwide affects harvest conditions and yield forecasts

The world is facing a new temperature record on July 3, 2023, the hottest day in history, indicating that the consequence of climate change is a rise in global temperatures, reports UkrAgroConsult, citing Bloomberg. Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and more severe. The key factor is humidity. In 2022, when India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka were hit…
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Flour

Flour prices in Kazakhstan have fallen below production costs

On the flour market, everyone is in the red this season, both Kazakh grain processors and their main buyers in Central Asia. The reason is the falling wheat prices. That is, the mukomolys have in the fall grains bought at 120 thousand tenge/ton and now have to flour sell at 115-110 thousand tenge/ton. This is a disadvantage for them. The same goes for the…
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Sugar beet

European farmers remove sugar beet from crop rotation

Sugar prices in Europe have risen by 61% compared to last year. The reason for this was the suspension of exemptions for neonicotinoid-treated seeds by the EU Court of Justice. Beet farmers could be driven out of business if the EU goes ahead with its plans to reduce pesticide use, as yield losses could wipe out farmers’ profit margins, reports…
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Hunger

Is the world facing a growing food crisis?

Although global food prices have fallen for the last nine months in a row, they have remained record-breaking for several decades. And the light at the end of the tunnel is not visible – on the contrary, production is falling and the number of hungry people is rising. Against this backdrop, Russia’s role in ensuring global food security is strengthened.…
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Sunflower

Sunflower in Ukraine in 2023: areas are being expanded and how can the harvest be increased?

The later threshing of soybean and sunflowers has reduced the sowing of winter crops, which means that the area under spring crops is increased. The cost of transporting corn do not make it economically interesting, so a reduction in their areas is predicted. The western regions are counting on an increase of soybean who are southern sunflowers, the central raise both cultures. Ukraine is the number one seller…
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Robotics

Cognitive Pilot will develop a robot for soil analysis

Developer of AI systems for robotic agricultural machinery Cognitive Pilot (a subsidiary of Sbera and Cognitive Technologies) has announced a project to develop a complex for agronomic analysis of the composition and condition of soil Cognitive Soil Analyzer and its promotion in domestic and foreign markets. The Cognitive Pilot won the competition of the Russian Ministry of Trade for the…
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Soil

State of the world’s soils in 2022

December 5 is World Soil Day, and on this day the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has reminded us that 95% of the food we consume comes directly or indirectly from our soils. Even artificial meat grown from pea protein requires no less soil nutrients than wheat or potatoes. However, our food loses these nutrients when…
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Harvest

Growth in global agricultural production has reached its lowest level in 60 years

Increasing agricultural productivity helps farmers to meet the food needs of the world’s growing population while using relatively fewer resources. One of the most informative indicators of agricultural productivity is general factor productivity (factor productivity), which shows the efficiency with which agricultural resources are combined to produce products. Unlike single factor performance indicators, such as yield per hectare (yield), total…
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Kazakhstan

Agricultural products for export: what, where and in what quantities does Kazakhstan supply

The expansion of foreign sales markets for agricultural products in Kazakhstan, from 3.5 billion US dollars in 2021 to 9.9 billion US dollars in 2030, has at least 80% priority, in addition to securing domestic food supplies, tripling productivity, quadrupling investment and reducing the share of the shadow economy in agriculture, forestry and fisheries to 0.5% of GDP, tripling foreign…
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Linseed (flax)

The global and Russian linseed oil market

According to the latest estimates by the UN-FAO and national statistics offices, global linseed oil production fell by 3.8% to 792.9 thousand tons in 2021. In previous years, global linseed oil production grew by 2.6% in 2019 and 2.4% in 2020. In 2020, production reached an all-time high of 824.2 thousand tons. The main reason for the growth was the…
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Silo

The revision of the forecast for consumption and grain stocks for the 2022-2023 season is due to a decrease in the forecast for grain production

The persistent dry conditions in the countries of the northern hemisphere have led the FAO to significantly reduce the forecast grain production for 2022. The estimated global cereal production in 2022 is estimated at 2,774 million tons, down from a forecast of 17.2 million tons previously published in July. A decrease of 1.4% (38.9 million tons) is now expected compared…
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Food

Food from Russia is difficult to bring to foreign markets

The authorities are reporting record grain yields from the current harvest. The Russian statistics office Rosstat reports that more than 140 million tons of grain have been collected against a forecast of 150 million tons by the Ministry of Agriculture. This could be an absolute record. At the same time, progress in the export of processed agricultural raw materials is…
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