Source: Zerno On-Line (Russia)
Turkey wheat production record projections show remarkable growth for the upcoming season. Thanks to increased rainfall, wheat production in Turkey is projected to increase by 20% in the 2026/27 season, surpassing the previous record set three years ago, according to a report from the Foreign Agricultural Information Service (FAS USDA).
Turkey Wheat Production Record: Cultivated Area Expansion
According to the report, the expected cultivated area of 7.45 million hectares will be the largest in eight years. As a result, analysts project wheat production will reach 19.8 million tons, the second-highest level on record. Furthermore, the FAS notes that “some industry experts believe production could increase even further, even surpassing the previous record of 21 million tons, if spring rains in March-May are favorable.”
Impact on Imports and Exports
The increased production will reduce the need for wheat imports. Consequently, the FAS forecasts that grain purchases from abroad will decrease by 10% to 6.5 million tons in 2026-2027.
“Turkey will no longer need to import wheat for domestic consumption, but will continue to import milling wheat under the domestic milling regime to support the country’s flour exports,” FAS stated.
The report notes that Turkey, consistently the world’s largest flour exporter, is struggling to regain lost market share in this category in key export markets in Africa and the Middle East. Additionally, according to the report, flour exports decreased by 3% year-on-year for the six-month period from June 2025 to January 2026, reaching 2.2 million tonnes (in wheat equivalent).
“Despite the decline in exports to Iraq, it remains the top destination for Turkish flour exports, followed by Syria and Somalia,” FAS stated. “Despite the ongoing decline, the Turkish milling industry is also seeing positive developments, such as increased exports to certain markets, such as Syria, Indonesia, and Ghana.”
Corn Production Shifts
As more farmers switch to wheat cultivation, experts project corn acreage will decline by 10% this year, leading to an 11% drop in production to 7 million tons.