Source: Ukragroconsult (Ukraine)
In the 2025/26 agricultural year, Mexico’s grain consumption is set to rise, reflecting the nation’s expanding population and a boost in the production of calves, hogs, and poultry, as reported by the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS).
According to FAS, corn production in Mexico is expected to grow by 3% from the previous year, reaching 24.5 million tons. The anticipated increase in local white corn prices, driven by falling inventories, will likely promote the expansion of the area planted. Following two years marked by drought and improved market prices, farmers are feeling hopeful about the upcoming crop season.
Despite a projection of 3% decline in corn imports, bringing them down to 24.8 million tons, this is attributed to greater domestic production and higher carryover stocks. Nonetheless, production still lags 10% behind the ten-year average as a result of financial challenges, substantial farmer debt, and rising domestic risks.
Wheat output for 2025/26 is forecasted to drop sharply by 39%, reaching only 1.6 million tons, due to extended drought conditions and low water reserves. There may be a 38% reduction in the area planted, resulting in a decrease to 290,000 hectares. Consequently, wheat imports are anticipated to rise by 8%, totaling 6.5 million tons since domestic production cannot satisfy demand.
In the realm of other grains, rice production is expected to increase by 4% to 170,000 tons, thanks to government assistance. Rice imports are likely to climb by 1% to 880,000 tons due to heightened consumption. Additionally, sorghum production is projected to grow by 3% to 3.9 million tons, while its imports may fall to 30,000 tons due to elevated global market prices.